Hey, we got ourselves a big win, the under for North Carolina and Minnesota hit with ease bringing us to 2-1 on the season for +0.9 units. Cannot complain when you are profiting. I was certainly right in my thoughts about Travis Hunter and my belief that he is the most talented player in college football. Colorado certainly has some issues that will plague their Big 12 return, but North Dakota State has a strong program that would compete nicely in the FBS. On another note, I was quite wrong hyping up the Minnesota kicker, with 2 misses, including the game winner, he’s already on his way to a disappointing season that being said I do not envy kickers, I always feel ill when and college football kicker misses a significant kick, I hate when it comes down to them. Some other things I noticed – Western Carolina held tight with NC State for 3 quarters, it will be interested to see how both these programs respond. Rutgers looked like they won in a rout, but for a half of football that offense looks less than desirable. Bowling Green and Toledo both won in easy fashion, this author hypes that the Glass Bowl and thinks both teams are enroute to bowl berths this season.
Tonight’s slate reflects 6 teams with the most prominent debut #16 ranked Oklahoma, but the best game on paper seems to be the matchup with TCU traveling to Stanford. A popular pick tonight is Stanford +8.5 at home and hosting TCU Projections show TCU as mid of the road Big 12 team, but Stanford is expected to be at the bottom of the conference. TCU returns 16 starters as well as a QB with experience down the stretch in Josh Hoover (2200 yards, 15 passing TDs, 9 INTs). Stanford as 18 returning starts with 2 QBs on the roster with experience, but no one stands out for strong performance, thus, the expectation would align with a natural step forward. I’ll be honest the more I dive into this game, the most I want to go the contrarian route, so here I am, let’s go with TCU at 1.1 units at -8.5 (an ugly number that makes it all the more enticing when the opponent isn’t good.
Where I do have a bet is the Wisconsin game, where I took the starting RB Chez Mellusi, the senior, to have the first TD of the game at 0.8 units for +550. They do have a few other options at RB, but this game sounds like one where the first TD comes from Wisconsin and considering it is Wisconsin with a coach that loves to grind out games like Luke Fickell, it seemed like a nice odds for a TD. As for the game, I’ll stay away from the over / under and the point spread.
The last game I am going with today is the matchup between Michigan State and Florida Atlantic, tonight seems the appearances of a few potential conference dwellers in Michigan State, Stanford, and the unmentioned Duke. Both Florida Atlantic and Michigan State have returning offenses that were towards the bottom in their conference. Michigan State has 15 returning starters from a team that had an offense that scored only 108 points in 9 conference games. Yes, they have a new QB and a head coach in Jonathan Smith who brought in transfers after a great season with Oregon State (their last as a Power 5 school), but this job is a couple years away from a successful rebuild. I am taking another one of my famous unders with Michigan State and Florida Atlantic under 44.5 for 1.1 units.
Alright, time to prepare for tomorrow, big slate of games, so I have much homework to do. Let’s enjoy another night of college football (while following along with the MLB playoffs hunt and HS football matchups).
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