The best of the year always comes just before the fall with the first Sunday of the NFL season. As a Cincinnati Bearcats fan, coming off a heartbreaking second half collapse, I need this Sunday. Here’s some thoughts I have for today.
The matchups – so far this NFL season, I am 1-1 with my game picks, I was confident in a Chiefs win, but I was expecting the Packers to also win. To date, the favorites are 2-0. Luckily, it looks like Jordan Love will make it back this season, but this reminds me of my mantra for week 1, let’s hope everyone stays healthy and makes it to next week. In 2023, we had way too much injuries that effected stars for bulk portions of the season, especially, out of the quarterback position (Rodgers, Burrow, Herbert, Cousins…). Let’s not repeat in 2024.
My picks for Week #1 (1 pm games)
- Dolphins -3.5 (1.6 units)
- Saints -3.5 (1.1 units)
- Colts +3 (1.1 unit)
- Cardinals / Bills Over 46.5 (.6 unit)
- Patriots / Bengals Under 41 (.6 unit)
- Giants ML (.6 unit)
- Titans +4 (.6 unit)
The -3.5 bets always scream trap, but I do believe the Dolphins and Saints will take care of business at home. I expect the Bengals / Patriots to be low scoring with the Patriots limited offensive weapons and the Bengals dealing with injuries and absences already in week 1. The Cardinals / Bills have the potential to be a shootout to start the season. The Colts haven’t won in week 1 since 2013, which in a putrid stat to use since players and coaching have turned over multiple times in the last 11 years. Finally, I see the Bears winning, but I feel like it could be a 3 point victory with the Titans keeping them close as they work through their new office and the Giants pulling of a win, at home, against the Vikings as the find footing with Sam Darnold at QB.
My player props for Week #1 (1 pm games) includes the following (at .6 unit):
- Chase Brown O14.5 receiving yards
- Zach Moss TD +130
- Dalton Kincaid O49.5 receiving yards
- Marvin Harrison TD +170
- Stefon Diggs +195
- Travis Etienne O58.5 rushing yards
- Kirk Cousins 2+ passing TDs +105
- Caleb Williams TD +250
- Alvin Kamara O28.5 receiving yards
- Diontae Johnson O53.5 receiving yards
- Devin Singletary TD +170
In week 1, it is best to check out major rookie debuts and new players adjusting to new teams, coaches always seem to want to get them involved from the start. In the end, you want to start the season off on a good start, so lets get momentum rolling with these players for the start of the season
Let’s enjoy a healthy start to week #1!
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